The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is ... -
black swan theory

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is ...

wikipedia - 09 Nov 2016
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying which presumed black swans did not exist, but the saying was rewritten after black swans were discovered in the wild.
black swan theory

Public Employee Pensions: The Next Black Swan?

Nasdaq - 13 Jun 2018
Author Nassim Taleb brought the phrase into common parlance in 2001 with his “black swan theory,” which he used to explain rare but disproportionately impactful events that are extremely hard to predict. Some of the most famous events that have been ...
black swan theory

Black Swans and 1000-Year Floods

Energy and Capital - 05 Jun 2018
I live about 15 miles from historic Ellicott City in Maryland. In the past week it's rained in buckets. On one afternoon, it dumped more than six inches in three hours. Due to development — the building of roads and parking lots — and the funnel ...
black swan theory

Nassim Taleb's Black Swan Theory Explained

Seeking Alpha - 03 May 2018
Protect yourself from the most dangerous market events - the type that wipe out people's life savings and force them to start over from zero. In markets, if you're not prepared for a black swan, you're going to end up losing a lot of money. No matter ...
black swan theory

Rome's Political 'Crisis' Was Just an Italian Job: Jim Cramer - 04 Jun 2018
At the same time, Europe's recent history of chaos has provided multiple opportunities to invest here in America, because you can count on some people panicking over the "black-swan theory." Finally, you can be sure that what happens in Italy won't be ...
black swan theory

'Glad I took risks'

Millennium Post - 23 Jun 2018
The more number of brains are involved, more points of view emerge. Everyone's point of view is correct, nobody is wrong. There is a theory called the 'Black Swan Theory'. We think that first there is a cause and then there is an effect. But, basically ...
black swan theory

Black Swan Events (And Why You Shouldn't Worry About Them)

Seeking Alpha - 19 Oct 2017
Some people talk of a Black Swan Event - that is an extreme outlier - being the trigger. But as I will show, truly unexpected events have a very short term effect on the market. They are nothing to be scared of as an investor (as long as you don't use ...
black swan theory

The theories of GE14

The Star Online - 16 Mar 2018
During a chat in a hotel lounge in Kuala Lumpur, a political operative reminded me of a “black swan” that can be a game changer in an election. He also warned that there could be black swans in the coming election. The black swan theory was developed ...
black swan theory

Why our financial decision-makers need 'skin in the game'

PBS NewsHour - 25 May 2018
Back in 2006, when he was a hedge fund owner, economic contrarian Nassim Taleb warned of a coming financial crisis in his then soon-to-be- published book, “The Black Swan”. As I understand it, your central insight is that people underestimate the ...
black swan theory

Factbox: Bold calls and Black Swans - how 2018 may surprise you

Reuters - 12 Dec 2017
LONDON (Reuters) - Central banks are slowly (but surely) turning off the stimulus taps and many markets are at record peaks, yet judging by the extraordinarily low volatility across most asset classes, investors don't seem at all worried about a ...
black swan theory

'Strange Angel' explores strange life of Jack Parsons (review) (blog) - 09 Jun 2018
And perhaps, in theory, this makes "Strange Angel" an ideal choice for a streaming service poised somewhere between "Star Trek" and "The Twilight Zone." Parsons, after all, as played by Irish actor Jack Reynor with a Jimmy Kimmel-like ...
black swan theory

Nassim Taleb explains the power of “skin in the game”

The Economist - 22 Feb 2018
He followed it with “The Black Swan”, which brought that term into widespread use to describe extreme, unexpected events. This was the first public incarnation of Mr Taleb—idiosyncratic and spiky, but with plenty of original things to say. As he ...

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